Market icon

Caroline Ellison prison time?

24-35 months 99.8%

No Prison Time <1%

1-11 months <1%

12-23 months  <1%

Polymarket

$1,014,676 Vol.

Former CEO of Alameda Research Caroline Ellison is scheduled to be sentenced on September 24, 2024 (see https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/11/former-ftx-executive-caroline-ellisons-sentencing-hearing-set-for-sept-24/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States of America v. Caroline Ellison", by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes".

If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,014,676
Date de fin
Sep 24, 2024
Créé le
Sep 12, 2024, 4:37 PM ET
Former CEO of Alameda Research Caroline Ellison is scheduled to be sentenced on September 24, 2024 (see https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/09/11/former-ftx-executive-caroline-ellisons-sentencing-hearing-set-for-sept-24/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caroline Ellison is not sentenced to spend any time in custody of a jail or prison, as part of "United States of America v. Caroline Ellison", by December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence passed in this case, regardless of appeals. If the first sentencing in this case does not include jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "Yes". If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2024 ET this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from involved government(s), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Caroline Ellison prison time?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24-35 months" at 100%, followed by "No Prison Time" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Caroline Ellison prison time?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Caroline Ellison prison time?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Caroline Ellison prison time?" is "24-35 months" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Prison Time" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Caroline Ellison prison time?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Caroline Ellison prison time?

24-35 months 99.8%

No Prison Time <1%

1-11 months <1%

12-23 months  <1%

Polymarket

$1,014,676 Vol.

No Prison Time

$371,541 Vol.

No

1-11 months

$94,750 Vol.

No

12-23 months

$72,184 Vol.

No

24-35 months

$148,394 Vol.

Yes

36-47 months

$83,529 Vol.

No

48-59 months

$96,406 Vol.

No

60+ months

$147,872 Vol.

No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Caroline Ellison prison time?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "24-35 months" at 100%, followed by "No Prison Time" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Caroline Ellison prison time?" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 12, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Caroline Ellison prison time?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Caroline Ellison prison time?" is "24-35 months" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Prison Time" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Caroline Ellison prison time?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.