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Politique·Primaires

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners
Politique·Primaires

CA-48 Primary Winners

NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Polymarket

$3,158 Vol.

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$180 Vol.

94%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$551 Vol.

62%

Marni von Wilpert

$287 Vol.

51%

Brandon Riker

$475 Vol.

27%

Abel Chavez

$143 Vol.

8%

Mike Schaefer

$41 Vol.

6%

Corinna Contreras

$183 Vol.

5%

Kevin O'Neil

$265 Vol.

4%

Ferguson Porter

$281 Vol.

2%

Eric Shaw

$344 Vol.

2%

Luis Reyna

$249 Vol.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$158 Vol.

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,158
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2 features an open seat after Republican incumbent Darrell Issa retired in March amid redistricting under Proposition 50, shifting boundaries toward San Diego and Riverside counties to create a competitive battleground. A late-April Tulchin Research poll of likely voters shows Republican Jim Desmond leading at 27%, ahead of Democrat Marni von Wilpert (16%) and Ammar Campa-Najjar (13%), with Democrats' crowded field—over 10 candidates—splitting their vote and boosting Republican chances for both top-two spots. High undecideds (around 25%) and recent Democratic infighting, alongside strong GOP fundraising, shape trader consensus on a fragmented race; early voting begins soon, with national midterm dynamics adding volatility.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$3,158
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-48 Primary Winners » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jim Desmond » à 94%, suivi de « Ammar Campa-Najjar » à 62%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 94¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-48 Primary Winners » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-48 Primary Winners », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-48 Primary Winners » est « Jim Desmond » à 94%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 94% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ammar Campa-Najjar » à 62%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-48 Primary Winners » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.