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icon for CA-48 Primary Winners

CA-48 Primary Winners

icon for CA-48 Primary Winners

CA-48 Primary Winners

$7,431 Vol.

2 juin 2026
Polymarket

$7,431 Vol.

Polymarket

Jim Desmond

$1,585 Vol.

99%

Marni von Wilpert

$875 Vol.

96%

Corinna Contreras

$263 Vol.

20%

Mike Schaefer

$136 Vol.

6%

Brandon Riker

$704 Vol.

9%

Kevin O'Neil

$1,095 Vol.

2%

Abel Chavez

$337 Vol.

2%

Stephen Clemons

$173 Vol.

1%

Eric Shaw

$433 Vol.

1%

Luis Reyna

$299 Vol.

1%

Ferguson Porter

$312 Vol.

7%

Ammar Campa-Najjar

$1,220 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate. Early returns show Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor who secured unified GOP support, and Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember, advancing as the top two finishers. A crowded Democratic primary field, including Ammar Campa-Najjar, split votes and prevented any single challenger from overtaking von Wilpert. Vote tabulation continues, but the results set the November general election matchup in this open seat viewed as competitive for control of the U.S. House.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,431
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 48th Congressional District held its nonpartisan top-two primary on June 2, 2026, following incumbent Darrell Issa's retirement after redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a more Democratic-leaning electorate. Early returns show Republican Jim Desmond, a San Diego County supervisor who secured unified GOP support, and Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego councilmember, advancing as the top two finishers. A crowded Democratic primary field, including Ammar Campa-Najjar, split votes and prevented any single challenger from overtaking von Wilpert. Vote tabulation continues, but the results set the November general election matchup in this open seat viewed as competitive for control of the U.S. House.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,431
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 22, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-48 Primary Winners » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jim Desmond » à 99%, suivi de « Marni von Wilpert » à 96%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-48 Primary Winners » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 22, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-48 Primary Winners », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-48 Primary Winners » est « Jim Desmond » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marni von Wilpert » à 96%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-48 Primary Winners » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.