Redistricting under Proposition 50 has shifted California's 3rd Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating more of northern Sacramento County, prompting incumbent Kevin Kiley to seek another seat. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, filed to run here and holds a significant edge in fundraising and name recognition against fellow Democrats Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes. On the Republican side, Christine Bish and Robb Tucker lead a smaller field ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. No major party endorsement has unified Democratic voters, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout among the district's registered voters in the final weeks before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-03 Primary Winners
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
71%
Christine Bish
33%
Heidi Hall
15%
Chris Bennett
7%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
$4,475 Vol.
Ami Bera
94%
Robb Tucker
71%
Christine Bish
33%
Heidi Hall
15%
Chris Bennett
7%
Laura Koscki
6%
Chris Richardson
4%
Lyndon Cervantes
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Redistricting under Proposition 50 has shifted California's 3rd Congressional District toward a Democratic lean by incorporating more of northern Sacramento County, prompting incumbent Kevin Kiley to seek another seat. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, previously representing the neighboring 6th District, filed to run here and holds a significant edge in fundraising and name recognition against fellow Democrats Chris Bennett, Heidi Hall, and Lyndon Cervantes. On the Republican side, Christine Bish and Robb Tucker lead a smaller field ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary. No major party endorsement has unified Democratic voters, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout among the district's registered voters in the final weeks before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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