Traders have assigned Flavio Bolsonaro a commanding lead in the Roraima first-round presidential contest, reflecting his established regional support and name recognition in the northern state. This consensus aligns with voter patterns favoring candidates associated with prior security and economic policies. Lula and the long list of other contenders register far lower implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, campaign announcements, or legal matters could still narrow the gap before voting occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFlavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula 2.1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi <1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
97%
Lula
2%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
<1%
Zema
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.4%
Lula 2.1%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi <1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3,571 Vol.
97%
Lula
$657 Vol.
2%
Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi
$424 Vol.
1%
Écrivain Augusto Cury
$560 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$417 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$498 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$528 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$492 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$448 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$448 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$448 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$416 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$418 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Traders have assigned Flavio Bolsonaro a commanding lead in the Roraima first-round presidential contest, reflecting his established regional support and name recognition in the northern state. This consensus aligns with voter patterns favoring candidates associated with prior security and economic policies. Lula and the long list of other contenders register far lower implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, campaign announcements, or legal matters could still narrow the gap before voting occurs.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$9,323Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Traders have assigned Flavio Bolsonaro a commanding lead in the Roraima first-round presidential contest, reflecting his established regional support and name recognition in the northern state. This consensus aligns with voter patterns favoring candidates associated with prior security and economic policies. Lula and the long list of other contenders register far lower implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, campaign announcements, or legal matters could still narrow the gap before voting occurs.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,323Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders have assigned Flavio Bolsonaro a commanding lead in the Roraima first-round presidential contest, reflecting his established regional support and name recognition in the northern state. This consensus aligns with voter patterns favoring candidates associated with prior security and economic policies. Lula and the long list of other contenders register far lower implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in turnout, campaign announcements, or legal matters could still narrow the gap before voting occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?
90%
Oui
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
86%
Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?
95%
Oui
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