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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul
Élections·Élection Principale

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul
Élections·Élection Principale

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 89%

Lula 11%

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$22,203 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 89%

Lula 11%

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi 1.1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$22,203 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7,420 Vol.

89%

icon for Lula

Lula

$3,654 Vol.

11%

icon for Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

$816 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$1,437 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$1,173 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$1,087 Vol.

<1%

icon for Écrivain Augusto Cury

Écrivain Augusto Cury

$1,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$1,171 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$493 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$858 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$640 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$641 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$1,376 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro leads state-level polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys from Quaest (34% vs. Lula at 28%) and AtlasIntel (41.3% vs. 39.7%) showing him ahead or in a technical tie among gaúcho voters.** This positions him as the clear frontrunner for first place in the state, consistent with stronger conservative support in the South compared to national trends where Lula and Flávio remain closely contested. Other registered candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, register only low single digits in RS-specific tests, limiting vote fragmentation on the right. Traders reflect this in elevated odds for Flávio, viewing the state’s polling edge and limited competition as decisive factors ahead of the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,203
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro leads state-level polling in Rio Grande do Sul for the October 4 first round, with recent surveys from Quaest (34% vs. Lula at 28%) and AtlasIntel (41.3% vs. 39.7%) showing him ahead or in a technical tie among gaúcho voters.** This positions him as the clear frontrunner for first place in the state, consistent with stronger conservative support in the South compared to national trends where Lula and Flávio remain closely contested. Other registered candidates, including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury, register only low single digits in RS-specific tests, limiting vote fragmentation on the right. Traders reflect this in elevated odds for Flávio, viewing the state’s polling edge and limited competition as decisive factors ahead of the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,203
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?

97%
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

86%
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

96%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 89%, suivi de « Lula » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 89¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul » a généré $22.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul » est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 89%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 89% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lula » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Sul » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.