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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte

Lula 97.0%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Lula 97.0%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Flavio Bolsonaro <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Lula

Lula

$2,895 Vol.

97%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$331 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing the incumbent PT president at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-20% and all other listed candidates at 2% or below. This regional strength stems from consistent Northeast voter preferences for PT candidates, reinforced by government approval ratings near 60% and alignment on social programs and economic policies. Trader consensus at 97% for Lula reflects the wide gap and fragmented opposition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. A late-breaking national scandal, significant polling shift, or unexpected turnout surge among right-leaning blocs could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in state-specific data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$6,868
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Rio Grande do Norte first-round polling, with recent Quaest surveys showing the incumbent PT president at 54-56% against Flávio Bolsonaro at 19-20% and all other listed candidates at 2% or below. This regional strength stems from consistent Northeast voter preferences for PT candidates, reinforced by government approval ratings near 60% and alignment on social programs and economic policies. Trader consensus at 97% for Lula reflects the wide gap and fragmented opposition ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote. A late-breaking national scandal, significant polling shift, or unexpected turnout surge among right-leaning blocs could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized in state-specific data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Norte, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Norte. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Norte. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$6,868
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans l'État du Rio Grande do Sul ?

Flavio Bolsonaro remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans l'État du Rio Grande do Sul ?

84%
Oui
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

86%
icon for Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans le Pernambouc ?

Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne dans le Pernambouc ?

97%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lula » à 97%, suivi de « Veterinário Wilson Grassi » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte » est « Lula » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Veterinário Wilson Grassi » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Rio Grande do Norte » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.