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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí

Lula 98.3%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$12,354 Vol.

Lula 98.3%

Rui Costa Pimenta <1%

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi <1%

Zema <1%

Polymarket

$12,354 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$7,398 Vol.

98%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

$383 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$490 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$475 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$387 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$301 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$372 Vol.

<1%

icon for Écrivain Augusto Cury

Écrivain Augusto Cury

$465 Vol.

<1%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$381 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$461 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Piauí's 2026 presidential first round, driven by consistent state-level polling showing him at 60-66% against single-digit or low-teens support for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Piauí's status as one of Lula's strongest 2022 bases, combined with high regional approval for his administration and alignment with Governor Rafael Fonteles, sustains this positioning. Recent developments include Lula's September 2026 visit to Teresina for federal project deliveries and a major campaign rally, reinforcing PT organizational strength ahead of voting. National polling aggregates reflect a narrower contest overall, yet Piauí-specific surveys indicate limited inroads for challengers. Shifts could occur from major economic downturns, scandals, or intensified opposition coordination in the final months, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,354
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for first place in Piauí's 2026 presidential first round, driven by consistent state-level polling showing him at 60-66% against single-digit or low-teens support for rivals such as Flávio Bolsonaro. Piauí's status as one of Lula's strongest 2022 bases, combined with high regional approval for his administration and alignment with Governor Rafael Fonteles, sustains this positioning. Recent developments include Lula's September 2026 visit to Teresina for federal project deliveries and a major campaign rally, reinforcing PT organizational strength ahead of voting. National polling aggregates reflect a narrower contest overall, yet Piauí-specific surveys indicate limited inroads for challengers. Shifts could occur from major economic downturns, scandals, or intensified opposition coordination in the final months, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the incumbent.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,354
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en Paraíba ?

Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en Paraíba ?

97%
Oui
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à São Paulo ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle brésilienne à São Paulo ?

89%
Oui
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

Flavio Bolsonaro obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix lors de la prochaine élection présidentielle au Brésil en provenance du Paraná ?

95%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Lula » à 98%, suivi de « Rui Costa Pimenta » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí » a généré $12.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí » est « Lula » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rui Costa Pimenta » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place à Piauí » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.