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icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso

icon for Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso
Politique·Brésil

Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 2.5%

Zema <1%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 2.5%

Zema <1%

Ronaldo Caiado <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$3,323 Vol.

95%

icon for Lula

Lula

$1,348 Vol.

2%

icon for Zema

Zema

$496 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$332 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$358 Vol.

1%

icon for Écrivain Augusto Cury

Écrivain Augusto Cury

$373 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$274 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$278 Vol.

1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$327 Vol.

1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$291 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$365 Vol.

1%

icon for Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

Vétérinaire Wilson Grassi

$284 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting sustained regional support in this agricultural state. Multiple surveys from mid-2026 through early September, including those by Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Percent Brasil, place him between 39% and 47% against Lula’s 26-32%, with other names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos registering single digits. Traders appear to price this dominance as driven by the Liberal Party candidate’s inheritance of Bolsonarista preferences among rural and conservative voters, elevated rejection of the incumbent PT, and limited inroads by national alternatives. A shift could occur through late-campaign turnout changes, economic developments affecting agro interests, or unexpected national events altering state-level sentiment before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,297
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Mato Grosso polling for the 2026 first-round presidential vote, reflecting sustained regional support in this agricultural state. Multiple surveys from mid-2026 through early September, including those by Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and Percent Brasil, place him between 39% and 47% against Lula’s 26-32%, with other names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos registering single digits. Traders appear to price this dominance as driven by the Liberal Party candidate’s inheritance of Bolsonarista preferences among rural and conservative voters, elevated rejection of the incumbent PT, and limited inroads by national alternatives. A shift could occur through late-campaign turnout changes, economic developments affecting agro interests, or unexpected national events altering state-level sentiment before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$8,297
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?

96%
icon for Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

Lula obtiendra-t-il le plus de voix au premier tour de l’élection présidentielle brésilienne de 2026 ?

90%
Oui
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

79%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 95%, suivi de « Lula » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso » est « Flavio Bolsonaro » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Lula » à 2%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Premier tour de l'élection présidentielle brésilienne : 1ère place au Mato Grosso » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.