**Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” holds overwhelming trader consensus for the Billboard Hot 100’s top spot the week of September 12 thanks to its record-setting dominance across all key chart components.** The track has already logged 21 nonconsecutive weeks at No. 1 as of early September 2026, surpassing prior non-holiday benchmarks set by songs like “Old Town Road” and “A Bar Song (Tipsy)” while trailing only Mariah Carey’s holiday perennial. Consistent weekly performance—roughly 24–25 million U.S. streams, 50+ million radio audience impressions, and steady digital sales—has kept it ahead of challengers including Stella Lefty’s “Boston,” Taylor Swift’s “I Knew It, I Knew You,” and Morgan Wallen’s “Been By Now.” Its status as the 2026 Song of the Summer, combined with crossover airplay gains on pop and adult formats and strong catalog momentum from Langley’s *Dandelion* album and tour, reinforces the lead. Country titles also swept the Hot 100’s upper ranks for extended stretches this year, underscoring the genre’s current strength. An upset would require an unprecedented late surge in sales or streaming from another track during the tracking period, something that has not materialized in recent weeks despite catalog activity around Dolly Parton titles. The market-implied odds reflect traders’ assessment of these locked-in metrics rather than any guaranteed outcome.