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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique

Caroline Elliott 75%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%

Iain Black 8.9%

Yuri Fulmer 4.0%

Polymarket

$152,154 Vol.

Caroline Elliott 75%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%

Iain Black 8.9%

Yuri Fulmer 4.0%

Polymarket

$152,154 Vol.

icon for Caroline Elliott

Caroline Elliott

$40,211 Vol.

75%

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$19,612 Vol.

13%

icon for Iain Black

Iain Black

$17,433 Vol.

9%

icon for Yuri Fulmer

Yuri Fulmer

$19,776 Vol.

4%

icon for Peter Milobar

Peter Milobar

$17,000 Vol.

1%

icon for Harman Bhangu

Harman Bhangu

$10,147 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Banman

Bruce Banman

$12,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Warren Hamm

Warren Hamm

$8,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darrell Jones

Darrell Jones

$8,551 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Caroline Elliott commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election, set for resolution on May 30, driven by her sustained lead in recent member polls, including a Pallas Data survey from early May showing 31-35% first preferences among decided voters after removing undecideds. Kerry-Lynne Findlay (13.6%) and Iain Black (8.9%) trail as potential second-round contenders in the preferential ballot system, bolstered by their debate performances, while Yuri Fulmer (4%) and Peter Milobar (1.8%) lag amid fragmented support. Party membership swelled to over 42,000 by late April deadlines, favoring Elliott's grassroots momentum on crime, cultural policy, and economic pledges despite April clashes in Vancouver debates; ballot verification is now underway with no major shifts in the past week.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$152,154
Date de fin
30 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Caroline Elliott commands trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability to win the B.C. Conservative Party leadership election, set for resolution on May 30, driven by her sustained lead in recent member polls, including a Pallas Data survey from early May showing 31-35% first preferences among decided voters after removing undecideds. Kerry-Lynne Findlay (13.6%) and Iain Black (8.9%) trail as potential second-round contenders in the preferential ballot system, bolstered by their debate performances, while Yuri Fulmer (4%) and Peter Milobar (1.8%) lag amid fragmented support. Party membership swelled to over 42,000 by late April deadlines, favoring Elliott's grassroots momentum on crime, cultural policy, and economic pledges despite April clashes in Vancouver debates; ballot verification is now underway with no major shifts in the past week.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$152,154
Date de fin
30 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 9 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Caroline Elliott » à 75%, suivi de « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 75¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique » a généré $152.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique », parcourez les 9 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique » est « Caroline Elliott » à 75%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 75% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kerry-Lynne Findlay » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection à la direction du Parti conservateur de la Colombie-Britannique » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.