The August 2026 CPI release, published September 11, delivered a seasonally adjusted 0.4% month-over-month increase that precisely matched consensus forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. Gasoline prices rose 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the headline move, while shelter advanced 0.3% and core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, in line with expectations and prior July readings of +0.1% headline and +0.2% core. Year-over-year inflation held steady at 3.4%, with the 12-month core rate easing to 2.4%. Traders priced in the exact print immediately upon confirmation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. The next relevant data point is the September CPI release scheduled for October 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour0,4 % 100.0%
≤-0,3 % <1%
-0,2 % <1%
-0,1 % <1%
$76,753 Vol.
$76,753 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
Non
-0,2 %
Non
-0,1 %
Non
0,0 %
Non
0,1 %
Non
0,2 %
Non
0,3 %
Non
0,4 %
Oui
≥0,5 %
Non
0,4 % 100.0%
≤-0,3 % <1%
-0,2 % <1%
-0,1 % <1%
$76,753 Vol.
$76,753 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
≤-0,3 %
$2,282 Vol.
Non
-0,2 %
$2,289 Vol.
Non
-0,1 %
$2,644 Vol.
Non
0,0 %
$3,693 Vol.
Non
0,1 %
$3,349 Vol.
Non
0,2 %
$6,734 Vol.
Non
0,3 %
$8,659 Vol.
Non
0,4 %
$18,893 Vol.
Oui
≥0,5 %
$28,211 Vol.
Non
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 CPI release, published September 11, delivered a seasonally adjusted 0.4% month-over-month increase that precisely matched consensus forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. Gasoline prices rose 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the headline move, while shelter advanced 0.3% and core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, in line with expectations and prior July readings of +0.1% headline and +0.2% core. Year-over-year inflation held steady at 3.4%, with the 12-month core rate easing to 2.4%. Traders priced in the exact print immediately upon confirmation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. The next relevant data point is the September CPI release scheduled for October 14.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$76,753Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 CPI release, published September 11, delivered a seasonally adjusted 0.4% month-over-month increase that precisely matched consensus forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. Gasoline prices rose 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the headline move, while shelter advanced 0.3% and core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, in line with expectations and prior July readings of +0.1% headline and +0.2% core. Year-over-year inflation held steady at 3.4%, with the 12-month core rate easing to 2.4%. Traders priced in the exact print immediately upon confirmation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. The next relevant data point is the September CPI release scheduled for October 14.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$76,753Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The August 2026 CPI release, published September 11, delivered a seasonally adjusted 0.4% month-over-month increase that precisely matched consensus forecasts, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. Gasoline prices rose 3.9% and accounted for more than one-third of the headline move, while shelter advanced 0.3% and core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3%, in line with expectations and prior July readings of +0.1% headline and +0.2% core. Year-over-year inflation held steady at 3.4%, with the 12-month core rate easing to 2.4%. Traders priced in the exact print immediately upon confirmation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. The next relevant data point is the September CPI release scheduled for October 14.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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