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icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 48%

Axel Kicillof 43%

Mauricio Macri 3.0%

Sergio Massa 1.7%

Polymarket

$160,271 Vol.

Javier Milei 48%

Axel Kicillof 43%

Mauricio Macri 3.0%

Sergio Massa 1.7%

Polymarket

$160,271 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$58,588 Vol.

48%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$14,413 Vol.

43%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$13,772 Vol.

3%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$10,299 Vol.

2%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$9,477 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$8,353 Vol.

1%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$10,449 Vol.

1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$9,327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$9,978 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$8,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$6,938 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof remain locked in a tight contest for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, with trader pricing reflecting Milei’s narrowed lead amid declining approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s. Persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, slower-than-expected gains in purchasing power, and recent government-linked corruption allegations have eroded support for the incumbent’s La Libertad Avanza ticket, even as fiscal balance and credit-rating upgrades provide counterbalancing evidence of reform progress. Peronist leaders are actively exploring a broad opposition coalition around Kicillof to consolidate anti-incumbent sentiment, while fragmented alternatives including Mauricio Macri and Sergio Massa trail far behind. Upcoming legislative dynamics, economic data releases, and primary maneuvering before the October 2027 vote could widen or close the current narrow gap reflected in market consensus.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$160,271
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof remain locked in a tight contest for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, with trader pricing reflecting Milei’s narrowed lead amid declining approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s. Persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, slower-than-expected gains in purchasing power, and recent government-linked corruption allegations have eroded support for the incumbent’s La Libertad Avanza ticket, even as fiscal balance and credit-rating upgrades provide counterbalancing evidence of reform progress. Peronist leaders are actively exploring a broad opposition coalition around Kicillof to consolidate anti-incumbent sentiment, while fragmented alternatives including Mauricio Macri and Sergio Massa trail far behind. Upcoming legislative dynamics, economic data releases, and primary maneuvering before the October 2027 vote could widen or close the current narrow gap reflected in market consensus.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$160,271
Date de fin
24 oct. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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Questions fréquentes

« Argentina Presidential Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Javier Milei » à 48%, suivi de « Axel Kicillof » à 43%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 48¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » a généré $160.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 1, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Argentina Presidential Election Winner », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » est « Javier Milei » à 48%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 48% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Axel Kicillof » à 43%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Argentina Presidential Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.