Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof remain locked in a tight contest for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, with trader pricing reflecting Milei’s narrowed lead amid declining approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s. Persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, slower-than-expected gains in purchasing power, and recent government-linked corruption allegations have eroded support for the incumbent’s La Libertad Avanza ticket, even as fiscal balance and credit-rating upgrades provide counterbalancing evidence of reform progress. Peronist leaders are actively exploring a broad opposition coalition around Kicillof to consolidate anti-incumbent sentiment, while fragmented alternatives including Mauricio Macri and Sergio Massa trail far behind. Upcoming legislative dynamics, economic data releases, and primary maneuvering before the October 2027 vote could widen or close the current narrow gap reflected in market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJavier Milei 48%
Axel Kicillof 43%
Mauricio Macri 3.0%
Sergio Massa 1.7%
$160,271 Vol.
$160,271 Vol.

Javier Milei
48%

Axel Kicillof
43%

Mauricio Macri
3%

Sergio Massa
2%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%
Javier Milei 48%
Axel Kicillof 43%
Mauricio Macri 3.0%
Sergio Massa 1.7%
$160,271 Vol.
$160,271 Vol.

Javier Milei
48%

Axel Kicillof
43%

Mauricio Macri
3%

Sergio Massa
2%

Dante Gebel
1%

Juan Grabois
1%

Myriam Bregman
1%

Victoria Villarruel
<1%

Esteban Bullrich
<1%

Juan Schiaretti
<1%

Facundo Manes
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Marché ouvert : May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javier Milei and Axel Kicillof remain locked in a tight contest for the 2027 Argentine presidential election, with trader pricing reflecting Milei’s narrowed lead amid declining approval ratings in the mid-to-high 30s. Persistent inflation above 3 percent monthly, slower-than-expected gains in purchasing power, and recent government-linked corruption allegations have eroded support for the incumbent’s La Libertad Avanza ticket, even as fiscal balance and credit-rating upgrades provide counterbalancing evidence of reform progress. Peronist leaders are actively exploring a broad opposition coalition around Kicillof to consolidate anti-incumbent sentiment, while fragmented alternatives including Mauricio Macri and Sergio Massa trail far behind. Upcoming legislative dynamics, economic data releases, and primary maneuvering before the October 2027 vote could widen or close the current narrow gap reflected in market consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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