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Le moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA a-t-il été adopté avant 2027 ?

Market icon
Tech·Culture

Le moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA a-t-il été adopté avant 2027 ?

Oui

18% chance
Polymarket

$12,597 Vol.

Oui

18% chance
Polymarket

$12,597 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors "No" at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the stark political realities facing the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25, 2026. Despite highlighting AI data centers' massive energy and water demands amid rising power costs, the bill has seen no committee advancement or bipartisan cosponsors in the 10 days since, stalled in a Republican-led Congress prioritizing AI expansion. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework explicitly calls for streamlining data center permits, countering moratorium momentum. With no hearings scheduled and historical precedents for such progressive measures failing, traders see slim odds of passage before 2027 absent major shifts like energy crises or unexpected alliances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,597
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus strongly favors "No" at 82.5% implied probability, driven by the stark political realities facing the Artificial Intelligence Data Center Moratorium Act introduced by Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez on March 25, 2026. Despite highlighting AI data centers' massive energy and water demands amid rising power costs, the bill has seen no committee advancement or bipartisan cosponsors in the 10 days since, stalled in a Republican-led Congress prioritizing AI expansion. The Trump administration's March 20 National AI Policy Framework explicitly calls for streamlining data center permits, countering moratorium momentum. With no hearings scheduled and historical precedents for such progressive measures failing, traders see slim odds of passage before 2027 absent major shifts like energy crises or unexpected alliances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,597
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Le moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA a-t-il été adopté avant 2027 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA adopté avant 2027 ? » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 18¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA a-t-il été adopté avant 2027 ? » a généré $12.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 17, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

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Le favori actuel pour « Le moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA a-t-il été adopté avant 2027 ? » est « Moratoire sur les centres de données d'IA adopté avant 2027 ? » à 18%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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