Name: What will Zelensky say during UN speech?
Start: 2024-09-24T15:48:46.800171Z
End: 2024-09-30T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over what Volodymyr Zelensky will say during his speech at the General Assembly High-level Week 2024.

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "Russia" 10 or more times during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Russia" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the European/Asian country.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Russia 10+ times

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "money" 5 or more times during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "money" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something generally accepted as a medium of exchange, a measure of value, or a means of payment.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Money 5+ times

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "we need" 3 or more times during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

We Need 3+ times

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "Kursk" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kursk" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Kursk Oblast.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Kursk

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "criminal" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "criminal" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to someone who breaks the law.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Criminal

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "Putin" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Putin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to President of Russia Vladimir Putin.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Putin

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "nuclear" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "nuclear" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an energy source or weapon utilizing the splitting of an atom's nucleus.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Nuclear

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "slava Ukraini" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Slava Ukraini

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "HIMARS" during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "HIMARS" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

HIMARS

It is likely Volodymyr Zelensky will speak at an address during the General Assembly High-level Week 2024 (September 24-28).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelensky says "peace" 3 or more times during their first speech delivered at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only an address delivered to the UN General Assembly will count toward the resolution of this market.

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "peace" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a state or period in which there is no war or a war has ended.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 30, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official video and/or transcript of the speech.

Peace 3+ times

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

The World Economic Forum is taking place in Davos, Switzerland from January 19 - January 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zelenskyy attends the World Economic Forum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the World Economic Forum is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Keskusteleeko Zelenskyi Putinin kanssa 31. maaliskuuta mennessä?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy is photographed or videotaped wearing a Western-style suit and tie in Davos, Switzerland between market creation and January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A Western-style suit and tie refers to a conventional business suit consisting of a jacket, trousers, dress shirt, and necktie, as commonly understood in Western formal or business attire.

Formal military attire, such as was previously worn by Zelenskyy (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/00.png), which does not meet the above specifications, will not qualify.

This market will resolve to “No” if the timeframe of this market concludes without a qualifying photograph or video, or if Zelenskyy is not in Davos, Switzerland by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an event titled "The President participates in the Board of Peace Charter Announcement [10:30 AM Local]" on January 22, 2026, 4:30AM ET (see https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about the scheduled event titled "The President participates in the Board of Peace Charter Announcement [10:30 AM Local]" on January 22, 2026, 4:30AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a deal in which Ukraine agrees to formally recognize Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory is reached between the Russian Federation and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement. 

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory for any amount of time will count.

An agreement by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995, “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia, which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement, is an example of a qualifying agreement.

An official unilateral pledge by Ukraine formally recognizing Russian sovereignty over any UN-recognized Ukrainian territory will qualify for a “Yes” resolution even if not part of an agreement with Russia.

The April 19, 2013, Brussels Agreement between Serbia and Kosovo, in which Serbia recognized Kosovo’s de facto administration but did not formally grant de jure recognition, would not be considered a qualifying agreement under this market, as this market requires formal recognition of sovereignty rather than acknowledgment of administrative control.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.


Ukraina tunnustaa Venäjän suvereniteetin sen alueellaan 30. kesäkuuta 2026 mennessä?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ukraine officially agrees to a peace framework to end the Russo–Ukrainian war that the United States has formally endorsed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:

1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.

2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.

3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework. 

The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.


Ukraina hyväksyy virallisesti Yhdysvaltojen tukeman tulitaukon kehyksen 31. maaliskuuta mennessä?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Ukrainian presidential election is scheduled by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Ukrainian election is announced between February 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Whether the election is supposed to take place during this timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Pitäisikö Ukrainan vaalit pitää 30. kesäkuuta 2026 mennessä?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Ukrainan vaalit pidetään viimeistään 31. joulukuuta 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official pledge by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.

A qualifying agreement must include a commitment by Ukraine to limit the total number of personnel in its armed forces. This includes any specific numerical cap on the number of personnel Ukraine may have in its armed forces, or any proportional limit on Ukrainian armed forces personnel (e.g., a commitment to reduce the size of the armed forces by a percentage of its current size). Limits on the number of personnel in specific branches of the Ukrainian armed forces will not count.

Other limits on Ukrainian military powers, such as the relinquishment of long-range weapons or limits on other categories of armaments or military capabilities, that do not constrain the total number of personnel in Ukraine’s armed forces, will not qualify.

An agreement by Ukraine to limit the number of personnel in its armed forces as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not yet finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.

Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been made will also qualify.

Ukraina suostuu rajoittamaan asevoimiensa kokoa ennen vuotta 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. 

Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ukrainan rauhan kansanäänestys järjestetään viimeistään 30. kesäkuuta?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tuleeko Rafael Grossista seuraava Yhdistyneiden kansakuntien pääsihteeri?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Voittaako Donald Trump Nobelin rauhanpalkinnon vuonna 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any European country formally commits to giving Ukraine a security guarantee, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed deal between the relevant European country and the Government of Ukraine which creates a binding obligation for the relevant European country to defend or directly intervene on Ukraine’s behalf, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying “security guarantee” requires language that is equivalent in character to a NATO Article 5–style mutual defense commitment: the relevant European country must commit to responding militarily if Ukraine is attacked, or otherwise guarantee Ukraine’s defense through binding defense obligations. Examples of qualifying language include commitments modeled on the US treaties with Japan, South Korea, or the Philippines, or NATO's Article 5 instrument, which obligates the United States to “act to meet the common danger” through military force if an ally is attacked. Cooperative frameworks, capacity-building measures, consultative mechanisms, or nonbinding pledges will not qualify.

Examples of non-qualifying arrangements include the June 13, 2024 US–Ukraine bilateral security agreement, the Taiwan Relations Act, or G7/EU “security arrangements” that provide support or consultation but stop short of binding defense guarantees.

A qualifying agreement must be jointly announced and finalized, and take the form of a treaty, executive agreement, memorandum of understanding, joint declaration, or equivalent written instrument. Announcements which are statements of intent, contingent, exploratory, or otherwise not indicative of a formalized policy will not count.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Qualifying European countries include: Albania; Andorra; Armenia; Austria; Azerbaijan; Belgium; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Bulgaria; Croatia; Cyprus; Czechia; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Georgia; Germany; Greece; Hungary; Iceland; Ireland; Italy; Latvia; Liechtenstein; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Malta; Moldova; Monaco; Montenegro; Netherlands; North Macedonia; Norway; Poland; Portugal; Romania; San Marino; Serbia; Slovakia; Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; Ukraine; United Kingdom.

Hyväksyykö eurooppalainen maa antaa Ukrainalle turvallisuustakuun 30. kesäkuuta mennessä?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent.

For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.

Lähettääkö Trump Tomahawk-ohjuksen Ukrainaan 31. maaliskuuta mennessä?

J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Toledo on on January 22, 2026 (see: https://www.cleveland.com/open/2026/01/jd-vance-will-deliver-economic-message-during-thursday-visit-to-toledo-capitol-letter.html).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the remarks in Toledo (https://www.cleveland.com/open/2026/01/jd-vance-will-deliver-economic-message-during-thursday-visit-to-toledo-capitol-letter.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will J.D. Vance say "Tax on Tips" or "Tax on Overtime" in Ohio on Thursday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

Venäjä x Ukraina rauhanneuvottelu

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Russia 10+ times
$28,150 Volyymi
Yes

Money 5+ times
$16,286 Volyymi
No

We Need 3+ times
$37,025 Volyymi
Yes

Criminal
$11,693 Volyymi
No

Putin
$9,542 Volyymi
Yes

Slava Ukraini
$14,275 Volyymi
Yes

Kursk
$9,420 Volyymi
No

HIMARS
$12,753 Volyymi
No

Nuclear
$7,212 Volyymi
Yes

Peace 3+ times
$4,128 Volyymi
Yes

Markkinakonteksti

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Säännöt

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Markkinakonteksti

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Tietoja

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Russia 10+ times$28,150 VolyymiYes

Money 5+ times$16,286 VolyymiNo

We Need 3+ times$37,025 VolyymiYes

Criminal$11,693 VolyymiNo

Putin$9,542 VolyymiYes

Slava Ukraini$14,275 VolyymiYes

Kursk$9,420 VolyymiNo

HIMARS$12,753 VolyymiNo

Nuclear$7,212 VolyymiYes

Peace 3+ times$4,128 VolyymiYes

Markkinakonteksti

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Säännöt

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Markkinakonteksti

What will Zelensky say during UN speech?

Tietoja

Russia 10+ times
$28,150 Volyymi
Yes

Money 5+ times
$16,286 Volyymi
No

We Need 3+ times
$37,025 Volyymi
Yes

Criminal
$11,693 Volyymi
No

Putin
$9,542 Volyymi
Yes

Slava Ukraini
$14,275 Volyymi
Yes

Kursk
$9,420 Volyymi
No

HIMARS
$12,753 Volyymi
No

Nuclear
$7,212 Volyymi
Yes

Peace 3+ times
$4,128 Volyymi
Yes