Kuinka monta SpaceX Starship -lennätystä saavuttaa avaruuden vuonna 2026?
5-6 36%
7-8 20%
9–10 15%
11–12 10.5%
$46,697 Volyymi
$46,697 Volyymi
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,474 Volyymi
9%
<5
$1,474 Volyymi
9%
5-6
$1,339 Volyymi
36%
5-6
$1,339 Volyymi
36%
7-8
$38,112 Volyymi
20%
7-8
$38,112 Volyymi
20%
9–10
$1,181 Volyymi
15%
9–10
$1,181 Volyymi
15%
11–12
$1,211 Volyymi
11%
11–12
$1,211 Volyymi
11%
13-14
$1,166 Volyymi
6%
13-14
$1,166 Volyymi
6%
15-16
$1,185 Volyymi
6%
15-16
$1,185 Volyymi
6%
>16
$1,028 Volyymi
4%
>16
$1,028 Volyymi
4%
Säännöt
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Luotu: Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
Volyymi
$46,697Päättymispäivä
Dec 31, 2026Luotu
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kuinka monta SpaceX Starship -lennätystä saavuttaa avaruuden vuonna 2026?
5-6 36%
7-8 20%
9–10 15%
11–12 10.5%
$46,697 Volyymi
$46,697 Volyymi
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$1,474 Volyymi
9%
5-6
$1,339 Volyymi
36%
7-8
$38,112 Volyymi
20%
9–10
$1,181 Volyymi
15%
11–12
$1,211 Volyymi
11%
13-14
$1,166 Volyymi
6%
15-16
$1,185 Volyymi
6%
>16
$1,028 Volyymi
4%
Tietoja
Volyymi
$46,697Päättymispäivä
Dec 31, 2026Luotu
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Varo ulkoisia linkkejä.
Varo ulkoisia linkkejä.

Varo ulkoisia linkkejä.
Varo ulkoisia linkkejä.