The tight WSOP Player of the Year race reflects the razor-thin margins on the official 2026 leaderboard, where Shaun Deeb holds a slim lead at 3,410 points over Naoya Kihara (3,388) and William Foxen (3,381). Deeb's recent bracelet win in the $1,500 8-Game Mix and consistent deep runs have kept him atop the standings, while Foxen's multiple high-stakes cashes and earlier bracelet victories narrowed the gap significantly during the summer series. Kihara's strong finishes have maintained pressure in the top tier. With points awarded only from open events and limited remaining opportunities after the July close, the minimal separations among these three drive the bunched implied probabilities, underscoring how small final-table swings or additional cashes could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedShaun Deeb 44.5%
William Foxen 35%
Naoya Kihara 21%
Michael J Moncek 3.8%
$11,997 Vol.
$11,997 Vol.
Shaun Deeb
44%
William Foxen
35%
Naoya Kihara
21%
Michael J Moncek
4%
Joshua Arieh
2%
Jesse Lonis
2%
Daniel Negreanu
2%
Justin Liberto
1%
Alex Anton
<1%
Benny Glaser
<1%
Nicholas Schulman
<1%
Joshua Reichard
<1%
Eelis Jaakko Eino Paerssinen
<1%
Martin Zamani
<1%
Myles Mullaly
<1%
Marco Johnson
<1%
Michael Mizrachi
<1%
Christopher David Brewer
<1%
Christopher Brian Hunichen
<1%
Daniel Rezaei
<1%
Daisuke Ogita
<1%
Artur Martirosian
<1%
Sean Sexton Winter
<1%
Kristen Foxen
<1%
Jamie Dwan
<1%
Joey Marc Weissman
<1%
Dylan Smith
<1%
Maxx Coleman
<1%
Calvin Anderson
<1%
Chenxiang Miao
<1%
Tony Ren Lin
<1%
Thomas Hall
<1%
Zdenek Zizka
<1%
Stephen Hubbard
<1%
Dennis Weiss
<1%
Joao Simao
<1%
Biao Ding
<1%
Santhosh Suvarna
<1%
Yuri Dzivielevski
<1%
Sergio Martinez Gonzalez
<1%
Aaron Kupin
<1%
Jason Daly
<1%
Nicholas Pupillo
<1%
Hok Yiu Lee
<1%
Richard Alsup
<1%
David Baker
<1%
Naseem Salem
<1%
Michael Leah
<1%
Justin Fawcett
<1%
Dylan Weisman
<1%
Shaun Deeb 44.5%
William Foxen 35%
Naoya Kihara 21%
Michael J Moncek 3.8%
$11,997 Vol.
$11,997 Vol.
Shaun Deeb
44%
William Foxen
35%
Naoya Kihara
21%
Michael J Moncek
4%
Joshua Arieh
2%
Jesse Lonis
2%
Daniel Negreanu
2%
Justin Liberto
1%
Alex Anton
<1%
Benny Glaser
<1%
Nicholas Schulman
<1%
Joshua Reichard
<1%
Eelis Jaakko Eino Paerssinen
<1%
Martin Zamani
<1%
Myles Mullaly
<1%
Marco Johnson
<1%
Michael Mizrachi
<1%
Christopher David Brewer
<1%
Christopher Brian Hunichen
<1%
Daniel Rezaei
<1%
Daisuke Ogita
<1%
Artur Martirosian
<1%
Sean Sexton Winter
<1%
Kristen Foxen
<1%
Jamie Dwan
<1%
Joey Marc Weissman
<1%
Dylan Smith
<1%
Maxx Coleman
<1%
Calvin Anderson
<1%
Chenxiang Miao
<1%
Tony Ren Lin
<1%
Thomas Hall
<1%
Zdenek Zizka
<1%
Stephen Hubbard
<1%
Dennis Weiss
<1%
Joao Simao
<1%
Biao Ding
<1%
Santhosh Suvarna
<1%
Yuri Dzivielevski
<1%
Sergio Martinez Gonzalez
<1%
Aaron Kupin
<1%
Jason Daly
<1%
Nicholas Pupillo
<1%
Hok Yiu Lee
<1%
Richard Alsup
<1%
David Baker
<1%
Naseem Salem
<1%
Michael Leah
<1%
Justin Fawcett
<1%
Dylan Weisman
<1%
If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve to "Other".
If two or more players are tied for 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve according to the official WSOP POY tiebreaker procedure. If a tie remains with no official resolution, the market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 WSOP POY race is cancelled, or a final leaderboard is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from WSOP (https://www.wsop.com/2026-poy/poy-leaderboard/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve to "Other".
If two or more players are tied for 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve according to the official WSOP POY tiebreaker procedure. If a tie remains with no official resolution, the market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 WSOP POY race is cancelled, or a final leaderboard is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from WSOP (https://www.wsop.com/2026-poy/poy-leaderboard/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight WSOP Player of the Year race reflects the razor-thin margins on the official 2026 leaderboard, where Shaun Deeb holds a slim lead at 3,410 points over Naoya Kihara (3,388) and William Foxen (3,381). Deeb's recent bracelet win in the $1,500 8-Game Mix and consistent deep runs have kept him atop the standings, while Foxen's multiple high-stakes cashes and earlier bracelet victories narrowed the gap significantly during the summer series. Kihara's strong finishes have maintained pressure in the top tier. With points awarded only from open events and limited remaining opportunities after the July close, the minimal separations among these three drive the bunched implied probabilities, underscoring how small final-table swings or additional cashes could still shift the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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