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Sports·WSOP

WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash

icon for WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash
Sports·WSOP

WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash

$270,664 Vol.

Polymarket

$270,664 Vol.

Polymarket

Daniel Negreanu

$419 Vol.

No

Michael Mizrachi

$120 Vol.

Yes

Martin Kabrhel

$865 Vol.

No

Phil Hellmuth

$455 Vol.

No

Scott Seiver

$845 Vol.

No

Jeremy Ausmus

$949 Vol.

Yes

Erik Seidel

$356 Vol.

No

Stephen Chidwick

$70 Vol.

Yes

Greg Merson

$528 Vol.

No

Jason Koon

$260 Vol.

No

Gerard Piqué

$280 Vol.

No

Chris Moneymaker

$225,242 Vol.

Yes

Kristen Foxen

$387 Vol.

Yes

Alex Foxen

$120 Vol.

Yes

Robert Eichele

$2,665 Vol.

Yes

Greg Raymer

$120 Vol.

Yes

Freddy Deeb

$358 Vol.

No

Brian Hastings

$349 Vol.

Yes

Tony Dunst

$347 Vol.

Yes

Martin Zamani

$518 Vol.

Yes

Ryuta Nakai

$30 Vol.

Yes

Joe Cada

$220 Vol.

No

Daniel Weinman

$220 Vol.

No

Damian Salas

$30,833 Vol.

No

Kathy Liebert

$801 Vol.

Yes

Viktor Blom

$321 Vol.

No

Stephen Song

$1,979 Vol.

Yes

Chris Hunichen

$70 Vol.

Yes

Sean O'Malley

$321 Vol.

No

Joe McKeehen

$493 Vol.

No

Robert Varkonyi

$125 Vol.

No

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used. The 2026 WSOP Main Event drew a record 9,208 entrants at the $10,000 buy-in, producing a massive prize pool and roughly 1,374 paid places that determine cashing status. The bubble burst during the later stages of the initial flights and early Day 4, locking in payouts well before the delayed final table resumed August 3-5. Trader focus centers on established professionals with deep runs in prior bracelet events, strong recent live results, and proven ability to navigate large-field survival formats. With heads-up action featuring Lucas Jumalon and Lauri Saaskilahti, attention has shifted to long-term player profiles rather than live dynamics for cashing markets. Schedule adjustments and expanded coverage have not altered the core payout structure or qualification thresholds that shape implied probabilities.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."

If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No."

If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.
Volume
$270,664
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used. The 2026 WSOP Main Event drew a record 9,208 entrants at the $10,000 buy-in, producing a massive prize pool and roughly 1,374 paid places that determine cashing status. The bubble burst during the later stages of the initial flights and early Day 4, locking in payouts well before the delayed final table resumed August 3-5. Trader focus centers on established professionals with deep runs in prior bracelet events, strong recent live results, and proven ability to navigate large-field survival formats. With heads-up action featuring Lucas Jumalon and Lauri Saaskilahti, attention has shifted to long-term player profiles rather than live dynamics for cashing markets. Schedule adjustments and expanded coverage have not altered the core payout structure or qualification thresholds that shape implied probabilities.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."

If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No."

If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.
Volume
$270,664
Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes the 2026 World Series of Poker Main Event, Event #82, held July 2–13, 2026, with the final table played August 3–5, 2026 in a paid finishing position i.e., is awarded a payout per the official tournament payout structure. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." If the listed player does not enter or play the 2026 WSOP Main Event, this market will resolve "No." Any case in which it cannot be clearly established that the listed player finished in a paid position will resolve "No." If the 2026 WSOP Main Event is cancelled, or is not completed such that final paid finishing positions are not determined by August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (two weeks after the scheduled conclusion of the final table on August 5, 2026), this market will resolve to "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Series of Poker (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting (e.g., the Hendon Mob poker database at https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com) may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Mizrachi" at 100%, followed by "Jeremy Ausmus" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash" has generated $270.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash" is "Michael Mizrachi" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeremy Ausmus" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WSOP 2026 Main Event: Which Players Will Cash" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.