Skip to main content
icon for World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty
Sports·Soccer

World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty

icon for World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty
Sports·Soccer

World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty

$40,948 Vol.

Jul 19, 2026
Polymarket

$40,948 Vol.

Polymarket

David Raya

$677 Vol.

No

Joan García

$692 Vol.

No

Unai Simón

$439 Vol.

No

Marc Pubill

$662 Vol.

No

Álex Grimaldo

$655 Vol.

No

Eric García

$535 Vol.

No

Marcos Llorente

$572 Vol.

No

Pedro Porro

$603 Vol.

No

Aymeric Laporte

$1,013 Vol.

No

Pau Cubarsí

$1,188 Vol.

No

Marc Cucurella

$650 Vol.

No

Mikel Merino

$615 Vol.

No

Fabián Ruiz

$865 Vol.

No

Gavi

$849 Vol.

No

Álex Baena

$615 Vol.

No

Rodri

$1,331 Vol.

No

Martín Zubimendi

$723 Vol.

No

Pedri

$1,304 Vol.

No

Ferran Torres

$895 Vol.

No

Dani Olmo

$612 Vol.

No

Yeremy Pino

$528 Vol.

No

Nico Williams

$683 Vol.

No

Lamine Yamal

$1,705 Vol.

No

Mikel Oyarzabal

$385 Vol.

No

Víctor Muñoz

$1,034 Vol.

No

Borja Iglesias

$399 Vol.

No

Juan Musso

$353 Vol.

No

Gerónimo Rulli

$1,327 Vol.

No

Emiliano Martínez

$406 Vol.

No

Marcos Senesi

$859 Vol.

No

Nicolás Tagliafico

$758 Vol.

No

Gonzalo Montiel

$961 Vol.

No

Lisandro Martínez

$614 Vol.

No

Cristian Romero

$739 Vol.

No

Nicolás Otamendi

$859 Vol.

No

Facundo Medina

$923 Vol.

No

Nahuel Molina

$763 Vol.

No

Leandro Paredes

$432 Vol.

No

Rodrigo De Paul

$848 Vol.

No

Valentín Barco

$919 Vol.

No

Giovani Lo Celso

$613 Vol.

No

Exequiel Palacios

$186 Vol.

No

Nico González

$308 Vol.

No

Alexis Mac Allister

$752 Vol.

No

Enzo Fernández

$239 Vol.

No

Julián Álvarez

$718 Vol.

No

Lionel Messi

$1,599 Vol.

No

Thiago Almada

$759 Vol.

No

Giuliano Simeone

$713 Vol.

No

Nico Paz

$855 Vol.

No

José Manuel López

$469 Vol.

No

Lautaro Martínez

$2,744 Vol.

No

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,948
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 FIFA World Cup final between defending champions Argentina and Spain at MetLife Stadium on July 19 carries elevated pressure that historically influences penalty conversion rates in shootouts or open play. Multiple knockout-stage matches have already reached extra time and penalties, with conversion struggles evident across several ties. Lionel Messi’s recent misses from the spot—including multiple attempts during the tournament—highlight individual form under scrutiny, though Argentina’s attacking depth and Spain’s defensive organization shape expectations. Weather, fatigue from the expanded 48-team schedule, and last-minute lineup adjustments remain variables that could alter set-piece execution or force decisive kicks. Trader consensus reflects these situational dynamics ahead of the match.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No".

Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,948
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will Team Vitality make CS2 EWC Grand finals?

Will Team Vitality make CS2 EWC Grand finals?

41%
icon for Will Acassuso be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?

Will Acassuso be runner-up in the 2026 Primera Nacional (Argentina)?

36%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

97%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 52+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Raya" at 0%, followed by "Joan García" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" has generated $40.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty," browse the 52+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" is "David Raya" at just 0%, with "Joan García" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "World Cup Finals: Player to Miss Penalty" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.