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World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result

icon for World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result

World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result

$5,518 Vol.

Jul 19, 2026
Polymarket

$5,518 Vol.

Polymarket

Kick 1

$1,052 Vol.

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Kick 2

$1,220 Vol.

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Kick 3

$188 Vol.

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Kick 4

$462 Vol.

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Kick 5

$394 Vol.

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Kick 6

$374 Vol.

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Kick 7

$421 Vol.

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Kick 8

$347 Vol.

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Kick 9

$344 Vol.

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Kick 10

$375 Vol.

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Kick 11

$341 Vol.

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This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina advanced to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final after a dramatic semifinal comeback against England, with late goals from Enzo Fernández and Lautaro Martínez assisted by Lionel Messi, building on their 2022 title-winning experience that included a penalty shootout victory over France. The July 19 matchup at MetLife Stadium pits the defending champions against Spain, featuring strong squad depth and players like Lamine Yamal and Rodri. Key variables for a potential shootout include both teams' historical conversion rates, recent form in knockout stages, goalkeeper tendencies, and fatigue from a congested schedule. Argentina's repeated success in high-pressure shootouts and Messi's presence shape trader views on outcomes, while Spain's attacking talent and set-piece organization add balance to the contest.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”.

In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt.

If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,518
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Argentina advanced to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final after a dramatic semifinal comeback against England, with late goals from Enzo Fernández and Lautaro Martínez assisted by Lionel Messi, building on their 2022 title-winning experience that included a penalty shootout victory over France. The July 19 matchup at MetLife Stadium pits the defending champions against Spain, featuring strong squad depth and players like Lamine Yamal and Rodri. Key variables for a potential shootout include both teams' historical conversion rates, recent form in knockout stages, goalkeeper tendencies, and fatigue from a congested schedule. Argentina's repeated success in high-pressure shootouts and Messi's presence shape trader views on outcomes, while Spain's attacking talent and set-piece organization add balance to the contest.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”.

In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt.

If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,518
End Date
Jul 19, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

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Frequently Asked Questions

"World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kick 1" at 50%, followed by "Kick 2" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result" is "Kick 1" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kick 2" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "World Cup Final: Argentina Penalty Shootout Result" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.