The 2026 World Cup Fair Play Award race remains tightly contested among early market leaders Morocco, Ivory Coast, and Croatia due to their established records of disciplined play and tactical approaches that limit fouls. Possession-oriented styles favored by several contenders reduce defensive interventions and card accumulation across the expanded 48-team format, which features more matches and heightened knockout-stage intensity. Historical trends show European and select African sides excelling through strong coaching emphasis on sportsmanship, though the tournament's physical demands and variable officiating introduce volatility that keeps implied probabilities clustered. Recent warm-up results and pre-tournament form offer limited signals, leaving trader consensus focused on proven fair play patterns rather than untested dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJapan 18.1%
England 11%
Spain 10%
South Korea 6.5%
$59,127 Vol.
$59,127 Vol.
Japan
18%
England
11%
Spain
10%
South Korea
6%
Croatia
20%
Germany
6%
France
5%
Belgium
5%
United States
5%
Norway
4%
Ecuador
4%
Portugal
4%
Türkiye
4%
Argentina
3%
Senegal
3%
Iran
3%
Curaçao
3%
Colombia
19%
Netherlands
3%
Morocco
21%
Brazil
2%
Mexico
1%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1%
South Africa
1%
Ivory Coast
16%
Paraguay
1%
New Zealand
1%
Tunisia
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Haiti
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Australia
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Japan 18.1%
England 11%
Spain 10%
South Korea 6.5%
$59,127 Vol.
$59,127 Vol.
Japan
18%
England
11%
Spain
10%
South Korea
6%
Croatia
20%
Germany
6%
France
5%
Belgium
5%
United States
5%
Norway
4%
Ecuador
4%
Portugal
4%
Türkiye
4%
Argentina
3%
Senegal
3%
Iran
3%
Curaçao
3%
Colombia
19%
Netherlands
3%
Morocco
21%
Brazil
2%
Mexico
1%
Sweden
1%
Switzerland
1%
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1%
South Africa
1%
Ivory Coast
16%
Paraguay
1%
New Zealand
1%
Tunisia
1%
Uzbekistan
1%
Haiti
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Uruguay
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Australia
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
DR Congo
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 3, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 World Cup Fair Play Award race remains tightly contested among early market leaders Morocco, Ivory Coast, and Croatia due to their established records of disciplined play and tactical approaches that limit fouls. Possession-oriented styles favored by several contenders reduce defensive interventions and card accumulation across the expanded 48-team format, which features more matches and heightened knockout-stage intensity. Historical trends show European and select African sides excelling through strong coaching emphasis on sportsmanship, though the tournament's physical demands and variable officiating introduce volatility that keeps implied probabilities clustered. Recent warm-up results and pre-tournament form offer limited signals, leaving trader consensus focused on proven fair play patterns rather than untested dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions