Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have anchored trader focus, with the June 16-17 meeting holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% while the updated dot plot signaled a higher median path and raised the odds of at least one hike by year-end. Gold (XAUUSD) has traded near $4,200-$4,350 per ounce in mid-June after a roughly 25% pullback from January peaks above $5,500, pressured by a stronger dollar and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Hawkish policy expectations and resilient labor data continue to limit safe-haven demand despite lingering geopolitical tensions, with upcoming inflation prints and Treasury yield movements likely to drive near-term volatility in the non-yielding metal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXAUUSD$4,155.53$4,155.53 -1.46%
$59,877 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
↑ $4,550
No
↑ $4,500
No
↑ $4,450
No
↑ $4,400
No
↑ $4,350
Yes
↑ $4,300
Yes
↑ $4,250
Yes
↓ $4,200
No
↓ $4,150
No
↓ $4,100
No
↓ $4,050
No
↓ $4,000
No
↓ $3,950
No
↓ $3,900
No
XAUUSD$4,155.53$4,155.53 -1.46%
$59,877 Vol.
↑ $4,550
$771 Vol.
No
↑ $4,500
$1,290 Vol.
No
↑ $4,450
$3,408 Vol.
No
↑ $4,400
$2,568 Vol.
No
↑ $4,350
$1,494 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,300
$15 Vol.
Yes
↑ $4,250
$15 Vol.
Yes
↓ $4,200
$35,724 Vol.
No
↓ $4,150
$4,311 Vol.
No
↓ $4,100
$2,200 Vol.
No
↓ $4,050
$632 Vol.
No
↓ $4,000
$5,808 Vol.
No
↓ $3,950
$1,212 Vol.
No
↓ $3,900
$430 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have anchored trader focus, with the June 16-17 meeting holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% while the updated dot plot signaled a higher median path and raised the odds of at least one hike by year-end. Gold (XAUUSD) has traded near $4,200-$4,350 per ounce in mid-June after a roughly 25% pullback from January peaks above $5,500, pressured by a stronger dollar and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Hawkish policy expectations and resilient labor data continue to limit safe-haven demand despite lingering geopolitical tensions, with upcoming inflation prints and Treasury yield movements likely to drive near-term volatility in the non-yielding metal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$59,877End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have anchored trader focus, with the June 16-17 meeting holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% while the updated dot plot signaled a higher median path and raised the odds of at least one hike by year-end. Gold (XAUUSD) has traded near $4,200-$4,350 per ounce in mid-June after a roughly 25% pullback from January peaks above $5,500, pressured by a stronger dollar and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Hawkish policy expectations and resilient labor data continue to limit safe-haven demand despite lingering geopolitical tensions, with upcoming inflation prints and Treasury yield movements likely to drive near-term volatility in the non-yielding metal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 15 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$59,877End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent FOMC decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh have anchored trader focus, with the June 16-17 meeting holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% while the updated dot plot signaled a higher median path and raised the odds of at least one hike by year-end. Gold (XAUUSD) has traded near $4,200-$4,350 per ounce in mid-June after a roughly 25% pullback from January peaks above $5,500, pressured by a stronger dollar and May CPI at 4.2% year-over-year. Hawkish policy expectations and resilient labor data continue to limit safe-haven demand despite lingering geopolitical tensions, with upcoming inflation prints and Treasury yield movements likely to drive near-term volatility in the non-yielding metal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions