**CS2's established audience and recent performance have driven overwhelming trader consensus that VALORANT will not surpass it at any 2026 Major.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 set new Counter-Strike records with a 2.75 million peak concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far exceeding VALORANT's top 2026 events such as Masters London (around 1 million peak) and prior Champions peaks near 1.47 million. CS2 S-tier events in early 2026 generated roughly 205 million hours watched versus VALORANT's 130 million, with higher averages and peaks despite fewer broadcast hours. This gap reflects CS2's deeper global fanbases in key languages and regions, longer tournament formats that boost watch time, and consistent year-over-year growth in flagship events. VALORANT maintains competitive regional strength and platform diversity but trails in scale. While a breakout VALORANT Champions run, major roster storylines, or inclusion of previously excluded Chinese viewership data could narrow the difference, closing the gap enough for a single-event overtake remains improbable based on current trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3% chance
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This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.**CS2's established audience and recent performance have driven overwhelming trader consensus that VALORANT will not surpass it at any 2026 Major.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 set new Counter-Strike records with a 2.75 million peak concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far exceeding VALORANT's top 2026 events such as Masters London (around 1 million peak) and prior Champions peaks near 1.47 million. CS2 S-tier events in early 2026 generated roughly 205 million hours watched versus VALORANT's 130 million, with higher averages and peaks despite fewer broadcast hours. This gap reflects CS2's deeper global fanbases in key languages and regions, longer tournament formats that boost watch time, and consistent year-over-year growth in flagship events. VALORANT maintains competitive regional strength and platform diversity but trails in scale. While a breakout VALORANT Champions run, major roster storylines, or inclusion of previously excluded Chinese viewership data could narrow the difference, closing the gap enough for a single-event overtake remains improbable based on current trajectories.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$450Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.**CS2's established audience and recent performance have driven overwhelming trader consensus that VALORANT will not surpass it at any 2026 Major.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 set new Counter-Strike records with a 2.75 million peak concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far exceeding VALORANT's top 2026 events such as Masters London (around 1 million peak) and prior Champions peaks near 1.47 million. CS2 S-tier events in early 2026 generated roughly 205 million hours watched versus VALORANT's 130 million, with higher averages and peaks despite fewer broadcast hours. This gap reflects CS2's deeper global fanbases in key languages and regions, longer tournament formats that boost watch time, and consistent year-over-year growth in flagship events. VALORANT maintains competitive regional strength and platform diversity but trails in scale. While a breakout VALORANT Champions run, major roster storylines, or inclusion of previously excluded Chinese viewership data could narrow the difference, closing the gap enough for a single-event overtake remains improbable based on current trajectories.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the Peak Viewership of any qualifying 2026 VALORANT international event exceeds the Peak Viewership of the highest-peaking qualifying 2026 CS2 Major, as measured by Esports Charts. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
"Qualifying VALORANT event" refers to: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026, Valorant Masters London 2026, Valorant EWC 2026, or Valorant Champions 2026 (Shanghai).
"Qualifying CS2 Major" means either of the two 2026 Valve-sponsored Majors: IEM Cologne Major 2026 or PGL Major Singapore 2026.
"Peak Viewership" means the peak concurrent viewer count for the event's main broadcast as reported by Esports Charts (https://escharts.com), excluding Chinese platform viewership, consistent with Esports Charts' standard methodology.
This market resolves "Yes" if at least one qualifying VALORANT event's peak viewership figure is greater than the larger of the two CS2 Majors' peak viewership figures. The comparison uses each event's single highest peak-viewer figure across the full event.
If a qualifying event is cancelled or not held, it is simply excluded from the comparison. If no qualifying CS2 Major or no qualifying VALORANT event takes place in 2026, or if Esports Charts does not publish peak viewership figures for the relevant events by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Esports Charts (https://escharts.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used where Esports Charts figures are unavailable or disputed.
Volume
$450Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**CS2's established audience and recent performance have driven overwhelming trader consensus that VALORANT will not surpass it at any 2026 Major.** The IEM Cologne Major 2026 set new Counter-Strike records with a 2.75 million peak concurrent viewers and over 100 million hours watched, far exceeding VALORANT's top 2026 events such as Masters London (around 1 million peak) and prior Champions peaks near 1.47 million. CS2 S-tier events in early 2026 generated roughly 205 million hours watched versus VALORANT's 130 million, with higher averages and peaks despite fewer broadcast hours. This gap reflects CS2's deeper global fanbases in key languages and regions, longer tournament formats that boost watch time, and consistent year-over-year growth in flagship events. VALORANT maintains competitive regional strength and platform diversity but trails in scale. While a breakout VALORANT Champions run, major roster storylines, or inclusion of previously excluded Chinese viewership data could narrow the difference, closing the gap enough for a single-event overtake remains improbable based on current trajectories.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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