Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% reflecting the absence of any credible signals or official actions indicating President Trump's intent to resign before December 31, 2026, amid his active management of the administration. Recent developments, including the April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi and considerations for further cabinet changes, underscore his engagement rather than withdrawal, countering partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm exit for a potential pardon from Vice President Vance. Ongoing impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without momentum, while high administration turnover aligns with historical second-term patterns rather than personal resignation pressures. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or legal escalations could shift odds, but none have emerged in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$431,570 Vol.
$431,570 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% reflecting the absence of any credible signals or official actions indicating President Trump's intent to resign before December 31, 2026, amid his active management of the administration. Recent developments, including the April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi and considerations for further cabinet changes, underscore his engagement rather than withdrawal, countering partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm exit for a potential pardon from Vice President Vance. Ongoing impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without momentum, while high administration turnover aligns with historical second-term patterns rather than personal resignation pressures. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or legal escalations could shift odds, but none have emerged in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% reflecting the absence of any credible signals or official actions indicating President Trump's intent to resign before December 31, 2026, amid his active management of the administration. Recent developments, including the April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi and considerations for further cabinet changes, underscore his engagement rather than withdrawal, countering partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm exit for a potential pardon from Vice President Vance. Ongoing impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without momentum, while high administration turnover aligns with historical second-term patterns rather than personal resignation pressures. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or legal escalations could shift odds, but none have emerged in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$431,570End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus prices "No" at 93.5% reflecting the absence of any credible signals or official actions indicating President Trump's intent to resign before December 31, 2026, amid his active management of the administration. Recent developments, including the April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi and considerations for further cabinet changes, underscore his engagement rather than withdrawal, countering partisan speculation like Democratic strategist James Carville's March predictions of a post-midterm exit for a potential pardon from Vice President Vance. Ongoing impeachment resolutions, such as H.Res.939, remain stalled without momentum, while high administration turnover aligns with historical second-term patterns rather than personal resignation pressures. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or legal escalations could shift odds, but none have emerged in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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