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Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?

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Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?

0% chance
Polymarket

$4,175 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$4,175 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between September 18 and October 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-president of the United States Donald J. Trump becomes the subject of a gag order by any Federal or State court in the US between September 18 and October 15, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "gag order" is broadly defined as a legally binding court order prohibiting Trump from discussing, commenting on, or disseminating information related to a specific legal case or investigation. The gag order must be issued by a federal or state court within the United States. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US courts/government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2023. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.