Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
$876,625 Vol.
$876,625 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
$876,625 Vol.
$876,625 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Volume
$876,625End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$876,625End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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