Market icon

Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?

Market icon

Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$7,820 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$7,820 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,820
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$7,820
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canadian citizens who stay in the United States for more than 30 consecutive days are required to register their information with the U.S. government due to a policy change implemented by the Department of Homeland Security or another relevant U.S. federal authority by March 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying and officially announced registration requirement by the resolution date will qualify regardless of when the requirement goes into effect. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security and a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 11, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump make Canadians visiting U.S. register before April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.