$1,443,302 Vol.
$1,443,302 Vol.
$1,443,302 Vol.
$1,443,302 Vol.
This market will resolve once the dataset has been updated to reflect data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Advance Estimate GDP report for Q2, currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2025. If no Advance Estimate GDP report for Q2 2025 is released by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, specifically the the average tariff paid as defined here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e. Revisions to the data made after the resolution will not be considered.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2024, 2:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Court Blocks
A federal court has ruled that President Trump's global tariffs, including the 'Liberation Day' tariffs, are illegal and exceed his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), effectively blocking their implementation. This decision, made by the U.S. Court of International Trade, is seen as a major setback to Trump's trade policies, with an appeal already filed by the administration.
Major Backlash
Sweeping tariffs announced on 185 countries, including significant rates on China, the EU, and Canada, igniting a global trade war with retaliatory measures announced by nations like China and the EU. Despite opposition, the U.S. Senate voted 51-48 to block tariffs on Canada, with key Republicans joining Democrats in the decision.
This market will resolve once the dataset has been updated to reflect data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Advance Estimate GDP report for Q2, currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2025. If no Advance Estimate GDP report for Q2 2025 is released by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, specifically the the average tariff paid as defined here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e. Revisions to the data made after the resolution will not be considered.
Resolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Court Blocks
A federal court has ruled that President Trump's global tariffs, including the 'Liberation Day' tariffs, are illegal and exceed his authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), effectively blocking their implementation. This decision, made by the U.S. Court of International Trade, is seen as a major setback to Trump's trade policies, with an appeal already filed by the administration.
Major Backlash
Sweeping tariffs announced on 185 countries, including significant rates on China, the EU, and Canada, igniting a global trade war with retaliatory measures announced by nations like China and the EU. Despite opposition, the U.S. Senate voted 51-48 to block tariffs on Canada, with key Republicans joining Democrats in the decision.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions