Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 67.5% trader consensus on impeachment before the end of Trump’s term. Forecasts assign Democrats a strong chance of flipping the chamber in November, allowing the majority party to advance articles of impeachment through committee and a floor vote once the new Congress convenes in 2027. Public polling has shown consistent majorities viewing grounds such as alleged abuse of power, corruption concerns, and unilateral military actions as sufficient for proceedings. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced, though Republican majorities have tabled them. While Senate conviction remains improbable, the market focuses solely on House passage of articles, a lower threshold that recent prediction platforms have priced at comparable levels around 66-69%. Midterm outcomes and any major policy or legal developments could still alter the trajectory before 2029.