Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.9% due to unwavering Danish and Greenlandic insistence on sovereignty, echoing the 2019 rejection when President Trump first proposed acquisition. Since his January 2025 inauguration, Trump has cited Arctic national security against Russia and China influence, initially threatening tariffs and force before relenting in January 2026 toward NATO-mediated frameworks and U.S. military expansion plans announced April 1. Recent pushback intensified with Greenland Prime Minister's April statements on public unease and Denmark's April 7 coalition talks rejecting blackmail, underscoring non-negotiable red lines amid no progress on ownership transfer before 2027. Legal barriers and NATO ally dynamics further dim prospects for any deal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$32,566,184 Vol.
$32,566,184 Vol.
$32,566,184 Vol.
$32,566,184 Vol.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.9% due to unwavering Danish and Greenlandic insistence on sovereignty, echoing the 2019 rejection when President Trump first proposed acquisition. Since his January 2025 inauguration, Trump has cited Arctic national security against Russia and China influence, initially threatening tariffs and force before relenting in January 2026 toward NATO-mediated frameworks and U.S. military expansion plans announced April 1. Recent pushback intensified with Greenland Prime Minister's April statements on public unease and Denmark's April 7 coalition talks rejecting blackmail, underscoring non-negotiable red lines amid no progress on ownership transfer before 2027. Legal barriers and NATO ally dynamics further dim prospects for any deal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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