President Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his January 2025 inauguration, including Davos calls for immediate negotiations on January 21, 2026, and tariff threats against Denmark, has met firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic leaders affirming sovereignty. Talks concluded without resolution by mid-January, with Greenland's prime minister citing local anger and no willingness to sell, echoing 2019 rebuffs. As a NATO ally territory, legal and diplomatic barriers remain high despite strategic Arctic interests against China and Russia. Trader consensus at 91.8% "No" reflects stalled diplomacy and lack of seller consent, though late breakthroughs like independence votes or economic pressures could shift odds before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$32,566,648 Vol.
$32,566,648 Vol.
$32,566,648 Vol.
$32,566,648 Vol.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland since his January 2025 inauguration, including Davos calls for immediate negotiations on January 21, 2026, and tariff threats against Denmark, has met firm rejections from Danish and Greenlandic leaders affirming sovereignty. Talks concluded without resolution by mid-January, with Greenland's prime minister citing local anger and no willingness to sell, echoing 2019 rebuffs. As a NATO ally territory, legal and diplomatic barriers remain high despite strategic Arctic interests against China and Russia. Trader consensus at 91.8% "No" reflects stalled diplomacy and lack of seller consent, though late breakthroughs like independence votes or economic pressures could shift odds before 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions