Recent declassification efforts under a February 2026 presidential directive have driven trader positioning in this market, with the Pentagon releasing five tranches of UAP-related records through August 7 via the PURSUE system. These include historical documents, images, and videos from agencies such as the Department of Defense, FBI, CIA, and NASA, covering sightings dating back decades, yet all remain classified as unresolved with no statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office continues its investigations without altering prior assessments that lack evidence of non-human origins. More rolling releases are scheduled, but the absence of definitive disclosures in recent batches aligns with the market's low implied probabilities for official confirmation by late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$64,525,783 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
2%
December 31
5%
$64,525,783 Vol.
September 30
$3,881,780 Vol.
2%
December 31
$36,796,961 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent declassification efforts under a February 2026 presidential directive have driven trader positioning in this market, with the Pentagon releasing five tranches of UAP-related records through August 7 via the PURSUE system. These include historical documents, images, and videos from agencies such as the Department of Defense, FBI, CIA, and NASA, covering sightings dating back decades, yet all remain classified as unresolved with no statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office continues its investigations without altering prior assessments that lack evidence of non-human origins. More rolling releases are scheduled, but the absence of definitive disclosures in recent batches aligns with the market's low implied probabilities for official confirmation by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 20, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Volume
$64,525,783End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent declassification efforts under a February 2026 presidential directive have driven trader positioning in this market, with the Pentagon releasing five tranches of UAP-related records through August 7 via the PURSUE system. These include historical documents, images, and videos from agencies such as the Department of Defense, FBI, CIA, and NASA, covering sightings dating back decades, yet all remain classified as unresolved with no statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office continues its investigations without altering prior assessments that lack evidence of non-human origins. More rolling releases are scheduled, but the absence of definitive disclosures in recent batches aligns with the market's low implied probabilities for official confirmation by late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$64,525,783End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 20, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent declassification efforts under a February 2026 presidential directive have driven trader positioning in this market, with the Pentagon releasing five tranches of UAP-related records through August 7 via the PURSUE system. These include historical documents, images, and videos from agencies such as the Department of Defense, FBI, CIA, and NASA, covering sightings dating back decades, yet all remain classified as unresolved with no statements confirming extraterrestrial life or technology. The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office continues its investigations without altering prior assessments that lack evidence of non-human origins. More rolling releases are scheduled, but the absence of definitive disclosures in recent batches aligns with the market's low implied probabilities for official confirmation by late 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions