**Team Aurora's CS2 roster has remained stable since its July 2026 international rebuild, supporting the 70% "No" probability for any starter change by December 31.** The current lineup—XANTARES, woxic, Wicadia, Jimpphat, and kyxsan (IGL), with coach ash—has competed consistently in events like the StarLadder StarSeries and BLAST Open Fall, holding a top-10 Valve ranking near 1,700 points as of early October. This five-player core replaced the prior Turkish-majority group (including MAJ3R and soulfly) following mid-year results and internal shifts, and no further official signings, benchings, or departures have occurred since. Recent form shows mixed outcomes without the kind of prolonged underperformance or chemistry issues that typically prompt mid-season adjustments in CS2. Organizations often evaluate rosters during off-periods or after major events, but Aurora's post-July integration and competitive placements have aligned with trader expectations of continuity through year-end. Contract timing, meta stability, and the absence of high-profile free-agent rumors further reinforce the current implied probability.