This is a market on whether Joe Biden's disapproval rating will be 51.0% or higher for the day of October 31, 2021. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the orange trend line for the date of October 31, 2021. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the (dis)approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The resolution date for this market will be on November 1, 2021 at 12:00 PM ET according to data published for the day of October 31. If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 24 hours until the actual data is available. If the actual data is not available on the resolution source by November 7, 2021, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50/50.
If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the most recent available approval rating.