Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$25,132 Bet

Expires Dec 31, 2023

Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?

Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran officially declares war on Israel by December 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market. Further note if e.g. Hezbollah declared war, it will not satisfy a “Yes” resolution - only Iran itself declaring war will suffice.


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