Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$62,496 Bet

Expires Nov 30, 2023

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?

Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially declares war on Israel by November 30, 2023 11:59 PM ET. Declarations of war must be clear and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by the specified date. Note that Israel or Hamas declaring war is not considered for this market.


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Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No


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Outcome: No