Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$16,238 Bet

Expires Nov 30, 2023

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases any hostages between November 14 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Outcome: Yes