Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?
$5,239,344 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
October 10
$211,459 Vol.
No
October 10
$211,459 Vol.
No
October 12
$1,315,731 Vol.
No
October 12
$1,315,731 Vol.
No
October 13
$1,081,017 Vol.
Yes
October 13
$1,081,017 Vol.
Yes
October 15
$724,690 Vol.
Yes
October 15
$724,690 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$1,906,446 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$1,906,446 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases all living Israeli hostages held in Gaza by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Hostage rescues will not qualify.
If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source.
The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Hostage rescues will not qualify.
If there is ambiguity over whether all living hostages have been released, official Israeli statements will be used as the primary resolution source.
The resolution source for this market will be a official statements form the Israeli government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,239,344
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$5,239,344 Vol.
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by...?
October 10
$211,459 Vol.
No
October 12
$1,315,731 Vol.
No
October 13
$1,081,017 Vol.
Yes
October 15
$724,690 Vol.
Yes
October 31
$1,906,446 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$5,239,344
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Resolver
0x65070BE91...



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