Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
$59,594 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period.
If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period.
If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Nov 16, 2023, 5:05 PM UTC
Volume
$59,594End Date
Nov 30, 2023Created At
Nov 16, 2023, 5:05 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$59,594 Vol.
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 20 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between November 15 and November 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period.
If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon the release of 20+ hostages in a 24 hour period.
If Hamas releases hostages on the last day within this market's range, the 24 hour period will commence starting with the release of the first hostage (e.g. if a first hostage is released on Nov 30, 2 PM ET, the 24h period will be from Nov 30, 2 PM ET to Dec 1, 2 PM ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,594End Date
Nov 30, 2023Created At
Nov 16, 2023, 5:05 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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