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Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?

Market icon

Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$22,477 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$22,477 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's search engine Bing has a market share of greater than 4.00% (i.e. 4.01% or more) for February 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be StatCounter's "Search Engine Market Share Worldwide" information (found at https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share), specifically the percentage figure found under "bing" above the line chart for February. If StatCounter ceases to exist or otherwise stops publishing this information, a consensus of credible sources will be used in place of StatCounter.
Volume
$22,477
End Date
Mar 1, 2023
Market Opened
Feb 15, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's search engine Bing has a market share of greater than 4.00% (i.e. 4.01% or more) for February 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be StatCounter's "Search Engine Market Share Worldwide" information (found at https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share), specifically the percentage figure found under "bing" above the line chart for February. If StatCounter ceases to exist or otherwise stops publishing this information, a consensus of credible sources will be used in place of StatCounter.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's search engine Bing has a market share of greater than 4.00% (i.e. 4.01% or more) for February 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be StatCounter's "Search Engine Market Share Worldwide" information (found at https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share), specifically the percentage figure found under "bing" above the line chart for February. If StatCounter ceases to exist or otherwise stops publishing this information, a consensus of credible sources will be used in place of StatCounter.
Volume
$22,477
End Date
Mar 1, 2023
Market Opened
Feb 15, 2023, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft's search engine Bing has a market share of greater than 4.00% (i.e. 4.01% or more) for February 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be StatCounter's "Search Engine Market Share Worldwide" information (found at https://gs.statcounter.com/search-engine-market-share), specifically the percentage figure found under "bing" above the line chart for February. If StatCounter ceases to exist or otherwise stops publishing this information, a consensus of credible sources will be used in place of StatCounter.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?" has generated $22.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 16, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Bing's market share be >4% in February?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.