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Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?

$27,549 Vol.

50% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Volume
$27,549
End Date
Jul 8, 2024
Created At
Jul 2, 2024, 4:06 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Beware of external links.

$27,549 Vol.

Market icon

Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?

50% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Hurricane system currently named 'Beryl' makes landfall in the conterminous US as Hurricane, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/020248.shtml). If Beryl does not hit the United States by July 8, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise dissipates before that date, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL, and the NHC officially reports that the storm has maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher at the time of landfall.

This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC that Beryl has made landfall within the conterminous United States within the market timeframe regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Volume
$27,549
End Date
Jul 8, 2024
Created At
Jul 2, 2024, 4:06 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

shield

Beware of external links.