Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

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Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023?

Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bashar al-Assad remains in power as the President of Syria until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. "In power" is defined as Assad still officially holding the office of the President of Syria, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official government statements. If Assad is no longer holding the office for any reason, the market will resolve to "No". If Assad departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


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