Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$1,205 Bet

Expires Dec 31, 2023

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, maintains his position as the Supreme Leader from the time of this market's creation until 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2023. The market will resolve to "No" if, for any reason, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is no longer in his position as the Supreme Leader of Iran at any point during this same time period.

The resolution will be based on reputable global news sources. In the event of a dispute, the final decision will be made by referencing the official statements from the government of Iran. If the event of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei no longer serving as Supreme Leader occurs before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.


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