Skip to main content
icon for Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
Sports·FIFA World Cup

Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?

icon for Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?
Sports·FIFA World Cup

Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,863 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$14,863 Vol.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup knockout bracket features five potential rounds after the round of 32 begins on June 28, yet historical patterns show teams rarely reach three penalty shootouts in one tournament. Records indicate a maximum of two for any side, as seen with Argentina in 1990 and Croatia in 2022, reflecting the low baseline probability of extra time followed by shootouts in successive matches. No standout injury or form trends among contenders alter this dynamic ahead of the knockout phase, and the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the structural barriers: even strong squads advancing deep face roughly one-in-four to one-in-five odds per tie after 120 minutes, making three or more instances for a single team statistically improbable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,863
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The expanded 2026 World Cup knockout bracket features five potential rounds after the round of 32 begins on June 28, yet historical patterns show teams rarely reach three penalty shootouts in one tournament. Records indicate a maximum of two for any side, as seen with Argentina in 1990 and Croatia in 2022, reflecting the low baseline probability of extra time followed by shootouts in successive matches. No standout injury or form trends among contenders alter this dynamic ahead of the knockout phase, and the wisdom of crowds in current pricing aligns with the structural barriers: even strong squads advancing deep face roughly one-in-four to one-in-five odds per tie after 120 minutes, making three or more instances for a single team statistically improbable.

This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$14,863
End Date
Jul 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if any single team participates in three or more penalty shootouts across the knockout phase of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the knockout phase consists of any game played after the group stage (Round of 32 onward, inclusive of the 3rd-place game). A penalty shootout is counted for both teams that participate in it. The three shootouts must be reached by the same team. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether any team participated in three or more shootouts within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Related

icon for Will Celtic qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Will Celtic qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

82%
icon for Will G2 Esports make playoffs?

Will G2 Esports make playoffs?

100%
icon for Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?

Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?

86%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.