Trader consensus on a "No" outcome reflects the absence of active, advanced normalization talks with any major candidate country capable of completing the required bilateral agreements, public announcements, and formal ceremonies within the remaining days before June 30. Kazakhstan's accession in late 2025 marked the most recent expansion, while subsequent U.S. diplomatic pushes toward Saudi Arabia, Syria, and others have not produced confirmed breakthroughs or accelerated timelines. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any step on progress toward Palestinian statehood, and no other states have signaled imminent readiness. An unanticipated expedited signing by a country with preexisting informal ties remains theoretically possible but would require overcoming standard procedural and political hurdles in an exceptionally short window.