Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party have produced repeated high-level removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command. In 2025 and early 2026, investigations removed Central Military Commission vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia, along with Political Work Department head Miao Hua, Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, and numerous theater and service commanders on charges of discipline violations. These actions have left the CMC with only Xi and anti-graft official Zhang Shengmin in senior uniformed roles, prompting accelerated efforts to rebuild a command structure vetted for personal allegiance ahead of the 2027 modernization deadline. Civilian officials such as Ma Xingrui have also faced probes, while scheduled gatherings including the Two Sessions and future plenums could surface additional cases. Trader attention centers on whether the pattern extends beyond the military or stabilizes following the latest round of leadership turnover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$199,181 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Cai Qi
6%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Xi
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$199,181 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,884 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,278 Vol.
7%
Cai Qi
$43,328 Vol.
6%
Zhao Leji
$10,974 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,099 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,277 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party have produced repeated high-level removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command. In 2025 and early 2026, investigations removed Central Military Commission vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia, along with Political Work Department head Miao Hua, Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, and numerous theater and service commanders on charges of discipline violations. These actions have left the CMC with only Xi and anti-graft official Zhang Shengmin in senior uniformed roles, prompting accelerated efforts to rebuild a command structure vetted for personal allegiance ahead of the 2027 modernization deadline. Civilian officials such as Ma Xingrui have also faced probes, while scheduled gatherings including the Two Sessions and future plenums could surface additional cases. Trader attention centers on whether the pattern extends beyond the military or stabilizes following the latest round of leadership turnover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$199,181End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party have produced repeated high-level removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command. In 2025 and early 2026, investigations removed Central Military Commission vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia, along with Political Work Department head Miao Hua, Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, and numerous theater and service commanders on charges of discipline violations. These actions have left the CMC with only Xi and anti-graft official Zhang Shengmin in senior uniformed roles, prompting accelerated efforts to rebuild a command structure vetted for personal allegiance ahead of the 2027 modernization deadline. Civilian officials such as Ma Xingrui have also faced probes, while scheduled gatherings including the Two Sessions and future plenums could surface additional cases. Trader attention centers on whether the pattern extends beyond the military or stabilizes following the latest round of leadership turnover.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$199,181End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign and drive for absolute loyalty within the Chinese Communist Party have produced repeated high-level removals from the People’s Liberation Army high command. In 2025 and early 2026, investigations removed Central Military Commission vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia, along with Political Work Department head Miao Hua, Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, and numerous theater and service commanders on charges of discipline violations. These actions have left the CMC with only Xi and anti-graft official Zhang Shengmin in senior uniformed roles, prompting accelerated efforts to rebuild a command structure vetted for personal allegiance ahead of the 2027 modernization deadline. Civilian officials such as Ma Xingrui have also faced probes, while scheduled gatherings including the Two Sessions and future plenums could surface additional cases. Trader attention centers on whether the pattern extends beyond the military or stabilizes following the latest round of leadership turnover.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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