Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign and military rectification have accelerated in 2026, with January announcements placing Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation for discipline violations, extending a purge that has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022. Additional removals from advisory bodies and the National People's Congress occurred around the March Two Sessions, while July saw the expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions coincide with cadre assessments and leadership preparations ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, underscoring Xi's emphasis on loyalty and institutional control across the party and armed forces. Trader focus on potential targets reflects patterns of targeting both military commands and civilian elites during periods of elite reshuffling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$200,249 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Cai Qi
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Xi
3%
Li Qiang
2%
Wang Yi
2%
$200,249 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,884 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,278 Vol.
7%
Cai Qi
$44,360 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,119 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,277 Vol.
3%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign and military rectification have accelerated in 2026, with January announcements placing Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation for discipline violations, extending a purge that has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022. Additional removals from advisory bodies and the National People's Congress occurred around the March Two Sessions, while July saw the expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions coincide with cadre assessments and leadership preparations ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, underscoring Xi's emphasis on loyalty and institutional control across the party and armed forces. Trader focus on potential targets reflects patterns of targeting both military commands and civilian elites during periods of elite reshuffling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$200,249End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign and military rectification have accelerated in 2026, with January announcements placing Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation for discipline violations, extending a purge that has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022. Additional removals from advisory bodies and the National People's Congress occurred around the March Two Sessions, while July saw the expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions coincide with cadre assessments and leadership preparations ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, underscoring Xi's emphasis on loyalty and institutional control across the party and armed forces. Trader focus on potential targets reflects patterns of targeting both military commands and civilian elites during periods of elite reshuffling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$200,249End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign and military rectification have accelerated in 2026, with January announcements placing Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department Chief Liu Zhenli under investigation for discipline violations, extending a purge that has removed or sidelined over 100 senior PLA officers since 2022. Additional removals from advisory bodies and the National People's Congress occurred around the March Two Sessions, while July saw the expulsion of Politburo member and Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui. These actions coincide with cadre assessments and leadership preparations ahead of the 2027 21st Party Congress, underscoring Xi's emphasis on loyalty and institutional control across the party and armed forces. Trader focus on potential targets reflects patterns of targeting both military commands and civilian elites during periods of elite reshuffling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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