Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army continues to drive expectations for additional leadership changes in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the most senior removals yet, following the October 2025 ouster of nine other generals and reductions that have left the CMC with only Xi and discipline inspection chief Zhang Shengmin. These moves, part of a broader effort since 2022 that has affected over 100 senior officers, underscore emphasis on political loyalty and institutional control. In July 2026, Xi appointed a new head of the CMC discipline inspection commission, signaling sustained focus on military governance. Traders monitor upcoming party meetings and personnel announcements for signals of further turnover among remaining senior figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$200,229 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Dong Jun
12%
Zhang Shengmin
7%
Cai Qi
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Wang Huning
4%
Li Xi
3%
Wang Yi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
$200,229 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,884 Vol.
12%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,278 Vol.
7%
Cai Qi
$44,360 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,990 Vol.
5%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,099 Vol.
4%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,277 Vol.
3%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army continues to drive expectations for additional leadership changes in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the most senior removals yet, following the October 2025 ouster of nine other generals and reductions that have left the CMC with only Xi and discipline inspection chief Zhang Shengmin. These moves, part of a broader effort since 2022 that has affected over 100 senior officers, underscore emphasis on political loyalty and institutional control. In July 2026, Xi appointed a new head of the CMC discipline inspection commission, signaling sustained focus on military governance. Traders monitor upcoming party meetings and personnel announcements for signals of further turnover among remaining senior figures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$200,229End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army continues to drive expectations for additional leadership changes in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the most senior removals yet, following the October 2025 ouster of nine other generals and reductions that have left the CMC with only Xi and discipline inspection chief Zhang Shengmin. These moves, part of a broader effort since 2022 that has affected over 100 senior officers, underscore emphasis on political loyalty and institutional control. In July 2026, Xi appointed a new head of the CMC discipline inspection commission, signaling sustained focus on military governance. Traders monitor upcoming party meetings and personnel announcements for signals of further turnover among remaining senior figures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$200,229End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign within the People’s Liberation Army continues to drive expectations for additional leadership changes in 2026. The January 2026 investigation of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli marked the most senior removals yet, following the October 2025 ouster of nine other generals and reductions that have left the CMC with only Xi and discipline inspection chief Zhang Shengmin. These moves, part of a broader effort since 2022 that has affected over 100 senior officers, underscore emphasis on political loyalty and institutional control. In July 2026, Xi appointed a new head of the CMC discipline inspection commission, signaling sustained focus on military governance. Traders monitor upcoming party meetings and personnel announcements for signals of further turnover among remaining senior figures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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