Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$19,272,557 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 11%

Scott Bessent 3.7%

Christopher Waller 3.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,272,557
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$19,272,557 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 77%

Kevin Warsh 11%

Scott Bessent 3.7%

Christopher Waller 3.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$1,929,975 Vol.

77%

Kevin Warsh

$505,570 Vol.

11%

Scott Bessent

$590,035 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$752,268 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$472,661 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$395,411 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$771,564 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$398,539 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$951,301 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$376,149 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$448,501 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$483,177 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$437,112 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,608,746 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$900,359 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$488,113 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$1,105,158 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,885,893 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$968,525 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$260,962 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,396,822 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$274,477 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$725,277 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$103,009 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$38,271 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$19,272,557
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.