Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 55%

Rick Rieder 18.4%

Christopher Waller 13.7%

Kevin Hassett 9%

$211,470,552 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$6,804,119 Vol.
55%

Rick Rieder
$5,187,786 Vol.
18%

Christopher Waller
$5,256,953 Vol.
14%

Kevin Hassett
$12,291,198 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$5,872,994 Vol.
2%

Michelle Bowman
$4,604,029 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,412,388 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,537,657 Vol.
1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,658,704 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,487,519 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,063,583 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,829,278 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,062,562 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$8,138,906 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,280,488 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,598,134 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,956,268 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,220,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,028,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,276,263 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,987,336 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,855,019 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,767,014 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,701,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,586,443 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$211,470,552

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 55%

Rick Rieder 18.4%

Christopher Waller 13.7%

Kevin Hassett 9%

$211,470,552 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$6,804,119 Vol.

55%

Rick Rieder

$5,187,786 Vol.

18%

Christopher Waller

$5,256,953 Vol.

14%

Kevin Hassett

$12,291,198 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$5,872,994 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$4,604,029 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$5,412,388 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$4,537,657 Vol.

No one nominated before 2027

$3,658,704 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$3,487,519 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,063,583 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,829,278 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,062,562 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$8,138,906 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,280,488 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$12,598,134 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,956,268 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,220,600 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,028,671 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,276,263 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,987,336 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$7,855,019 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,767,014 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,701,848 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,586,443 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$211,470,552

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

43%

Will 56 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

26%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

98%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$6,804,119 Vol.
55%

Rick Rieder
$5,187,786 Vol.
18%

Christopher Waller
$5,256,953 Vol.
14%

Kevin Hassett
$12,291,198 Vol.
9%

Judy Shelton
$5,872,994 Vol.
2%

Michelle Bowman
$4,604,029 Vol.
1%

Scott Bessent
$5,412,388 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$4,537,657 Vol.
1%

No one nominated before 2027
$3,658,704 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$3,487,519 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,063,583 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,829,278 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,062,562 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$8,138,906 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,280,488 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$12,598,134 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,956,268 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,220,600 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,028,671 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,276,263 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,987,336 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$7,855,019 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,767,014 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,701,848 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,586,443 Vol.
<1%

Market Context