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icon for Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

icon for Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?

Nick Szabo <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Adam Back <1%

Len Sassaman <1%

Polymarket

$462,851 Vol.

Nick Szabo <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Adam Back <1%

Len Sassaman <1%

Polymarket

$462,851 Vol.

Nick Szabo

$96,029 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$19,928 Vol.

No

Adam Back

$105,839 Vol.

No

Len Sassaman

$62,558 Vol.

No

Dorian Nakamoto

$9,127 Vol.

No

Gavin Andresen

$10,194 Vol.

No

Bram Cohen

$11,525 Vol.

No

Other

$0 Vol.

Yes

Craig Wright

$50,516 Vol.

No

Hal Finney

$72,957 Vol.

No

Wei Dai

$10,300 Vol.

No

Paul Le Roux

$13,879 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08).

If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin.

If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other".

If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$462,851
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08).

If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin.

If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other".

If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$462,851
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the individual identified as the primary creator of Bitcoin by the “Finding Satoshi” documentary expected to release on April 22 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gVxAwomug08). If the documentary identifies multiple individuals, this market will resolve according to the individual which the documentary most directly depicts, or presents as most likely to be responsible for creating Bitcoin. If multiple individuals are presented as equally likely in the conclusion of the documentary, the market will resolve to "Other". If the documentary is not released by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Nick Szabo" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?" has generated $462.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nick Szabo" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will the "Finding Satoshi" documentary identify as Satoshi?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.